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Today, Federal Reserve officials are expected to support the weakening U.S. labor market by cutting interest rates. This would mark a shift after months of holding back due to concerns about tariff-driven inflation. Economists and analysts are watching the decision closely, as it could significantly affect the trajectory of the U.S. economy. A rate cut is expected to stimulate borrowing and investment, potentially leading to higher employment and stronger growth. However, some experts are concerned about the potential long-term consequences of such a move. They argue that a return to lower interest rates could inflate asset bubbles and increase financial instability. Moreover, they warn that the cut might prove ineffective if businesses and consumers remain hesitant to borrow and spend amid ongoing economic uncertainty. The policy shift comes under unrelenting pressure from President Donald Trump, who this week pushed for a larger cut. The political drama has also raised uncertainty about who would even participate in this week's policy meeting, although the lineup was likely finalized Monday evening when the Senate confirmed a new Fed governor. Beyond the political intrigue, investors will focus on Chair Jerome Powell's remarks and the updated economic projections for insights into the likely path of interest rates in the coming months. Particular attention will be paid to the so-called dot plot — the chart showing individual forecasts of FOMC members regarding future rates. Significant divergences in these projections could highlight divisions within the Fed and add uncertainty to the markets. Investors will also study the Fed's updated forecasts for inflation, GDP growth, and unemployment. Any major changes in these projections could strongly influence market expectations and investor behavior. "Each cut will be more difficult than the last, unless the labor market shows further signs of deterioration," Bank of America analysts noted. As mentioned earlier, Fed watchers see potential divisions over the expected quarter-point cut. Some officials may push for a deeper reduction, while others may prefer to keep rates unchanged. Ultimately, the debate centers on which concern outweighs the other: a labor market on the brink of sharp deterioration or accelerating inflation driven by tariffs. Either way, if we don't see significant changes in policymakers' forecasts and today's cut is already priced in, the dollar could strengthen in the short term. But if most committee members adopt a more dovish outlook for the future—or worse, decide on a half-point cut—the dollar will likely fall against risk assets, including the euro and the British pound. Technical Outlook for EUR/USD: Buyers now need to take control of the 1.1875 level. Only then can they aim for a test of 1.1910. From there, the pair could move toward 1.1940, though achieving this without support from large players will be difficult. The ultimate target lies at the 1.1985 high. On the other hand, meaningful buying interest is expected only around 1.1835. If absent there, it would be preferable to wait for a retest of 1.1790 or open long positions from 1.1750. Technical Outlook for GBP/USD: Pound buyers need to break through nearby resistance at 1.3665. This would open the way toward 1.3710, above which further gains will be challenging. The furthest target is around 1.3745. If the pair declines, bears will attempt to take control of 1.3625. A break below this range would deal a serious blow to bulls and push GBP/USD toward 1.3590, with the potential to extend losses to 1.3550. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

Trend Analysis (Fig. 1). On Wednesday, from the level of 1.3642 (yesterday's daily close), the market may begin moving downward toward 1.3626 — a historical support level (blue dashed line). Upon testing this level, the price may continue moving upward toward 1.3682 — the 161.8% target level (red dashed line). Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – upward;Fibonacci levels – upward;Volumes – upward;Candlestick analysis – downward;Trend analysis – upward;Bollinger Bands – upward;Weekly chart – upward.General conclusion: upward trend. Alternative scenario: On Wednesday, from the level of 1.3642 (yesterday's daily close), the market may continue moving upward toward 1.3682 — the 161.8% target level (red dashed line). Upon testing this level, a pullback downward toward 1.3624 — a historical support level (blue dashed line) is possible. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

The Dogecoin daily chart is clustering several classical support signals around $0.256–$0.265, as highlighted by Cantonese Cat (@cantonmeow) via X: “DOGE finding support. Tweezer bottom. 0.382 linear fib holding. AVWAP from cycle high holding.” On the Coinbase DOGE/USD one-day view shown, price is reclaiming the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement at $0.26537 while riding the Anchored VWAP drawn from the cycle high, with yesterday’s session marked at an open of $0.26840, high $0.27214, low $0.25680 and last $0.27119. What This Means For Dogecoin Price For readers less familiar with the terms, a “tweezer bottom” is a two-bar reversal formation in which consecutive candles print almost identical lows after a decline. The repeated low shows that dip buyers defended the same price on back-to-back sessions, and the intraday wicks rejecting that level often indicate absorption of sell pressure. In the chart, the twin lows cluster exactly into the $0.265 area, giving a clean reference for risk. On higher timeframes such as the daily, this pattern is watched because it defines a precise inflection without requiring a long basing process; confirmation is typically evaluated by whether subsequent candles hold above those lows and push through the interim highs of the pattern. The 0.382 “linear fib” refers to a 38.2% Fibonacci retracement calculated on a linear price scale from the prior swing extremes drawn on the chart. In practical terms, it marks a shallow retracement level where trends frequently pause or resume. Here, that retracement prints at $0.26537, almost perfectly overlapping the tweezer lows. “Holding” in the analyst’s note means price probed the level intraday but closed back above it, preserving it as support rather than converting it to resistance. AVWAP—the Anchored Volume-Weighted Average Price—is the running average price of all trades since a chosen starting point, weighted by traded volume, with that starting point “anchored” to a specific candle. The anchor here is the cycle high visible on the left side of the chart. Functionally, this AVWAP (drawn as the blue band) represents the composite cost basis of market participants from that top onward. When price is below an AVWAP anchored to a major high, it often behaves as dynamic resistance because many holders are underwater; when price reclaims it, the same line can flip into dynamic support as the average participant moves back to break-even or profit. On this chart, the AVWAP is sloping through $0.265–$0.27 and “holding,” meaning successive tests have found buyers along that band, precisely where the 0.382 retracement and tweezer lows coincide. Technically, that three-way overlay—pattern, retracement, and anchored cost basis—is what traders call confluence. It improves the quality of a level because different methods, derived from different data (price structure, proportional retracement, and volume distribution over time), all argue for the same zone. Where Is DOGE Heading Next? The chart also frames the next directional checkpoints. The nearest marked resistance is the 0.5 retracement at $0.30724, which capped the latest advance before the pullback into $0.265. Above that, the Fibonacci ladder steps to $0.34911 (0.618), $0.40871 (0.786), $0.44419 (0.886), and $0.48464 (1.000), with extensions labeled at $0.58115 (1.272) and $0.63153 (1.414). If the confluence at $0.265 were to fail on a closing basis, the next plotted downside reference on this template is the 0.236 retracement at $0.21357, while the bottom of the displayed range sits at $0.12984. Put together, the chart Cantonese Cat shared communicates a straightforward message: DOGE tested a cluster of technical supports at $0.265, produced a tweezer-style reaction there, and is attempting to stabilize above both the 0.382 retracement and the AVWAP from the cycle high. That is the specific technical context behind the analyst’s “local bottom” read. At press time, DOGE traded at $0.267.

Latest Crypto News Today, September 16: BTC USD in A Strong Price Zone at 117K, ETH Back Above 4.5K as XRP, BNB, SOL Follow. Crypto market is walking at a steady pace as September rise continues. BTC price holds firm above 117K USD . Meanwhile, ETH is back over 4,500, XRP stays strong at 3.04, and SOL moves up near 238 against USD. bitcoinPriceMarket CapBTC$2.33T24h7d1y All four major coins have posted healthy gains in the past 24 hours, and the current momentum suggests there’s more upside ahead. Add to that BNB with a 2.9% bump to $956, blasting all-time high after all-time high. bnbPriceMarket CapBNB$142.17B24h7d1y According to DeFiLlama, DeFi TVL remains stable at around $159 billion, almost close to the top of the 2021 crypto bull run. Also, according to the data, DEX volume is up over 21% this week, and crypto is likely prepping for a breakout. (source – DeFi TVL, Defillama) DISCOVER: Top 20 Crypto to Buy in 2025 BTC, ETH, SOL, XRP Price Climbs Against USD as Fed Odds Spark Excitement. But, will BNB be the winner in this Q3? After a slump weeks ago, the BTC USD price has now touched $117K twice in two days. CoinGlass shows exchange inflows dropped 15% as whales are accumulating. Open interest on BTC ▲0.99% futures is over $42 billion, with CME data showing a 22% rise in long positions since the start of the month. (source – BTC Inflows, CoinGlass) On CoinGecko, 24-hour trading volume sits at $42 billion or 12% above the weekly average. With CME FedWatch predicting a 96% chance of a rate cut https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/cme-fedwatch-tool.html, many believe BTC USD price could continue higher as macro winds turn favorable. There’s real momentum behind ETH USD numbers game right now as it is back above $4,500 again, largely thanks to Lido’s growing TVL, now at $38.6 billion. AAVE ▲4.10% not far behind at $41 billion, and that kind of traction says something as capital is choosing DeFi again. Restaking through EigenLayer added $19 billion in fresh value, giving ETH USD price a strong narrative heading into Q4. (source – Lido TVL, DefiLlama) SOL, meanwhile, is carving out its own identity around 237 USD in price. SOL has been holding support better than most expected. Pantera’s $1.1 billion position in Solana is a sign of big-money conviction. Plus, with Solana’s DEX volumes jumping 25% in a week, it’s now seriously competing with Ethereum on throughput. Both SOL ▲0.23% and ETH ▼-0.17% are good, and right now, both look ready to run. https://twitter.com/mellometrics/status/1849915699059118429 XRP USD has been flying under the radar, but that might not last much longer. Sitting steady at $3.04 per XRP ▼-0.51%, there’s more brewing. Ripple’s On-Demand Liquidity volume hit $1.3 trillion last quarter, and there are whispers backed by Polymarket odds that we might see ETF approval by October. Current predictions give it a 96% chance. (source – Polymarket) If that happens, XRP USD could easily attract billions in inflows. And with 38 billion XRP still locked in escrow, scarcity could come into play fast, and Ripple can rally against USD in a single move. DISCOVER: 20+ Next Crypto to Explode in 2025 Join The 99Bitcoins News Discord Here For The Latest Market Updates 51 minutes ago USDC Targets Hyperliquid Crypto for Expansion: Will HYPE Price Break $60? By Akiyama Felix Stablecoin crypto giant USDC is making bold moves into the decentralized exchange sector, with plans to expand its footprint on Hyperliquid, one of the fastest-growing crypto derivatives platforms. This strategic partnership could dramatically increase liquidity for HYPE, Hyperliquid’s native token, setting the stage for a potential breakout above the critical $60 level. The announcement comes as stablecoins become the backbone of on-chain crypto trading. USDC’s integration with Hyperliquid signals a deeper shift toward fully decentralized liquidity networks, providing institutional and retail traders with faster, more transparent, and cost-efficient trading solutions. With HYPE price already up over 12% this month, traders are wondering if this partnership could trigger a FOMO-fueled run in the coming weeks. hyperliquidPriceMarket CapHYPE8$54.89B24h7d1y Read the original piece here. 52 minutes ago Bitwise Will Change Everything For RWA Crypto This Thanksgiving By Akiyama Felix RWA crypto is set for a massive shakeup this holiday season, with Bitwise filing for a groundbreaking Stablecoin and Tokenization ETF. If approved, the fund is expected to launch just before Thanksgiving, potentially triggering a year-end FOMO rally for stablecoin and real-world asset-linked tokens. With the stablecoin market now at $290Bn and tokenized assets climbing to $66Bn, this ETF could be the spark that brings institutional capital flooding into crypto. Here’s why this development matters and how it could transform the RWA space by the end of 2025. (Source – CoinGecko.com) Read the full story here. The post Latest Crypto News Today, September 17: BTC USD in A Strong Price Zone at 117K, ETH Back Above 4.5K as XRP, BNB, SOL Follow appeared first on 99Bitcoins.

Trend Analysis (Fig. 1). On Wednesday, from the level of 1.1866 (yesterday's daily close), the market may start moving downward toward 1.1828 — a historical support level (blue dashed line). Upon testing this level, the price may continue moving upward toward 1.1881 — the resistance line (thick blue line). Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – upward;Fibonacci levels – upward;Volumes – upward;Candlestick analysis – downward;Trend analysis – upward;Bollinger Bands – upward;Weekly chart – upward.General conclusion: upward trend. Alternative scenario: From the level of 1.1866 (yesterday's daily close), the price may continue moving upward toward 1.1907 — the 208% target level (red dashed line). Upon testing this level, the price may roll back downward toward 1.1881 — the 185.4% target level (red dashed line). The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

Wall Street Ends in the Red U.S. stock markets closed lower on Tuesday, with the three major Wall Street indexes finishing the session in decline. Investors adopted a cautious stance ahead of the Federal Reserve's much-anticipated interest rate decision. Rate Cut Expectations Most market participants continue to bet that the Fed will trim its key rate by 25 basis points. The move is seen as a response to mounting signs of weakness in the U.S. labor market, highlighted by a series of recent economic reports. Political Moves Overlooked Political developments failed to shift market sentiment. The Senate confirmed White House economic adviser Steven Miran to the Federal Reserve Board, while an appeals court rejected former President Donald Trump's attempt to dismiss Fed Governor Lisa Cook. Both events were largely ignored by traders. Retail Sales and Market Volatility Government data showed that U.S. retail sales in August rose more strongly than economists had forecast. Still, the upbeat consumer spending numbers did little to shake expectations of a rate cut. Meanwhile, the CBOE Volatility Index climbed to 16.04, its highest level in more than a week. Pressure from Market Giants Blue-chip stocks weighed on the indexes. Shares of UnitedHealth Group dropped 2.3 percent, while Nvidia slid 1.6 percent. The latter decline followed analyst reports pointing to weaker-than-expected demand in China for Nvidia's latest AI chip. U.S. Indexes Break Records On Monday, Wall Street once again set fresh milestones. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq closed at all-time highs, extending their streak of intraday records across several sessions. Despite September's reputation as a tough month for equities, all three major indexes have posted solid gains since the beginning of the year. Webtoon Soars on Disney Partnership Shares of Webtoon Entertainment surged nearly 39 percent after the company struck a deal with Disney. The collaboration involves launching a digital comics platform featuring content from Disney's vast portfolio, including the Marvel universe and Star Wars. Oracle Gains on TikTok News Oracle stock advanced 1.5 percent after Donald Trump announced that the United States and China had reached an agreement allowing TikTok to remain operational in the U.S. Market enthusiasm was further boosted by reports that Oracle is part of an investor consortium backing the arrangement. European Markets Regain Ground In Europe, stocks opened slightly higher on Wednesday, recovering from losses in the previous session. By early morning GMT, the STOXX 600 index was up 0.1 percent at 551.56 points, with tech companies leading the way. Tech Sector Leads the Rally SAP and Prosus were among the strongest performers, each rising about 2 percent, reinforcing the rebound of the broader technology sector. Focus on the Federal Reserve Global investors are now turning their attention to the conclusion of the Federal Reserve's two-day policy meeting. The outcome of the Fed's deliberations is expected to play a decisive role in shaping market sentiment. PostNL Jumps on Strategic Shift Shares of PostNL surged by more than seven percent after the company unveiled its new roadmap during Capital Markets Day. Starting in January 2026, the parcel delivery division will be split into two separate businesses, one focused on e-commerce and the other on platform services. Novo Nordisk Upgraded Pharmaceutical giant Novo Nordisk saw its stock rise nearly two percent. The advance came after brokerage firm Berenberg upgraded its rating on the Danish drugmaker from Hold to Buy, boosting investor confidence in the company's prospects. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

Asia Market Wrap - Asian Shares Take a Breath After Record Rally Most Read: Fed (FOMC) Meeting Preview: 25 bps Cut Appears Baked In, Forward Guidance Is Key. Implications for the DXY, Dow Jones and S&P 500 Asian stocks had a mixed day, moving between small gains and losses. This happened as investors waited for the US Federal Reserve's policy decision, with many expecting the central bank to cut interest rates for the first time this year. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index initially fell but then recovered to gain 0.1%. In Hong Kong, Chinese technology stocks soared to their highest level in four years, driven by growing excitement and demand related to artificial intelligence. On Wednesday, China's main stock indexes ended the day higher. The blue-chip CSI300 Index rose by 0.6%, and the Shanghai Composite Index gained 0.4%. Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index also did well, climbing 1.8%. Technology companies listed in Hong Kong saw a big jump of 4.2%, following a rally in their U.S. counterparts. Baidu's shares surged by almost 16% to their highest price since October 2023. Alibaba's shares also went up by 5%, reaching their strongest point since November 2022. However, stocks of companies related to consumer spending didn't react much, even after China announced new measures on Tuesday to boost spending on services. UK Inflation Remains Sticky, Holds at 3.8% Based on official figures, British inflation stayed at 3.8% in August, which is the highest rate among major developed economies. Source: ONS This high number suggests to investors that the Bank of England is unlikely to cut interest rates again this year. I however think we could still get another rate cut as wage growth continues to cool and service inflation data has seen some progress. Time will tell. Inflation for transportation slowed down, mostly because airfare prices dropped. Price increases were also lower for services, recreation and culture, and clothing and footwear, while housing and utilities prices stayed steady. However, the prices of motor fuels had the biggest impact, pushing inflation up. Prices for restaurants and hotels, food (reaching its highest level since January 2024), and furniture also increased at a faster rate. On a monthly basis, consumer prices rose by 0.3%, which was more than the previous month and matched predictions. On an annual basis, core inflation, which leaves out food and energy costs, slightly decreased from 3.8% to 3.6%. The news from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) did not cause much change in the value of the British pound or in British interest rate futures. European Open - European Shares Edge Higher On Wednesday, European stocks went up slightly, recovering from their losses in the previous session. This happened as investors were waiting for the US Federal Reserve's decision on monetary policy later in the day. The overall European STOXX 600 index rose by 0.1% to 551.56 points, after hitting a one-week low on Tuesday. Technology stocks led the gains, with shares of SAP and Prosus both increasing by about 2%. Later, investors around the world will focus on the results of the Federal Reserve's two-day meeting. Markets are largely expecting the Fed to cut interest rates by a quarter of a percent to address the weakening US job market. However, investors will be paying especially close attention to what Chairman Jerome Powell says about the future policy plans. In other company news, PostNL's shares rose by 7.5% after the company announced a new strategy, including dividing its Parcels business into two new segments, E-commerce and Platforms, starting in January 2026. Novo Nordisk's shares also increased by 1.8% after the brokerage firm Berenberg upgraded its rating on the Danish drugmaker from "Hold" to "Buy." On the FX front, The euro dropped by 0.25% to 1.1838, after reaching a four-year high of 1.18785 on Tuesday. The British pound fell by 0.13% to 1.3630, which is still close to its highest point in two and a half months, following British inflation data that met expectations. The U.S. dollar index, which compares the dollar to six other major currencies, was up 0.20% at 96.84, after hitting its lowest level since early July on Tuesday. The index is down almost 11% this year, and investors are preparing for more losses after a recent pause. The Swiss franc eased by 0.22% to 0.7875 per US dollar, remaining near the decade-high it reached in the previous session. The Australian dollar hit an 11-month high and was last at 0.6674. The Japanese yen strengthened to 146.22 per dollar, its strongest in a month. This happened ahead of the Bank of Japan's policy meeting on Friday, where the central bank is expected to keep rates unchanged. The yen was last down 0.10% at 146.63. Currency Power Balance Source: OANDA Labs Oil prices went down slightly on Wednesday, after rising by more than 1% the day before. The ongoing political tensions around the world prevented prices from falling too far. Traders are also keeping a close eye on the US Federal Reserve, which is expected to cut interest rates later in the day. Brent crude futures dropped by 33 cents, or 0.5%, to $68.14 per barrel, while US West Texas Intermediate crude futures fell by 32 cents, or 0.5%, to $64.20 per barrel. For more information on Oil, please read WTI Oil Rallies 1% After Ukrainian Attacks on Russian Oil Facilities, Russia Sanction Calls Grow Gold prices fell slightly on Wednesday. This was because the US dollar saw a small increase, and investors decided to sell their gold to secure the profits they made after gold reached a record high on Tuesday. Spot gold fell by 0.5% to $3,671.61 per ounce, after hitting a record high of $3,702.95 the day before. US gold futures for December also dropped by 0.4% to $3,709. For more information on Gold, read Gold (XAU/USD) Soars to Breach $3700/oz. FOMC Meeting Next, Will the Rally Continue? Economic Data Releases and Final Thoughts Looking at the economic calendar, the European session has had a busy morning thus far. Markets attention will now turn to the US session where we will also get the Bank of Canada interest rate decision before the highly anticipated Federal Reserve decision and Fed Chair Powell speech. For all market-moving economic releases and events, see the MarketPulse Economic Calendar. (click to enlarge) Chart of the Day - FTSE Index From a technical standpoint, the FTSE has retreated and broken the bullish structure on the four-hour chart. The four-hour candle close below the swing low at 9240 has seen a change in structure, which hints at further downside. The index is now trading at the bottom end of the range which it broke earlier this week. There is a possibility of a pullback though before the next leg low, with the swing high at 9285 now holding the key. Before that though, resistance is being provided by the 100-day MA at 9236 and 9262 before that 9285 handle comes into focus. Looking at support on the downside, immediate support rests at the 200-day MA at 9203 before the 9180 handle comes into focus. FTSE 100 Four-Hour Chart, September 17. 2025 Source: TradingView.com (click to enlarge) Follow Zain on Twitter/X for Additional Market News and Insights @zvawda Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. The provided publication is for informational and educational purposes only. If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found on MarketPulse, an award winning forex, commodities and global indices analysis and news site service produced by OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc., please refer to the MarketPulse Terms of Use. Visit https://www.marketpulse.com/ to find out more about the beat of the global markets. © 2025 OANDA Business Information & Services Inc.

US equity indices closed lower yesterday, with the S&P 500 down 0.13% and the Nasdaq 100 slipping 0.07%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.27%. Futures on major indices are fluctuating between minor gains and losses ahead of the Federal Reserve's policy decision, as investors speculate that the central bank may lower rates for the first time this year. Ahead of the Fed meeting, many traders are taking a cautious stance, waiting for clearer signals on the central bank's next steps. The market appears to be holding its breath, bracing for a potential catalyst that could trigger a sharp move up or a significant downturn in the major indices. In addition, geopolitical factors are increasingly shaping the outlook for financial markets. Any signs of instability, whether from escalating conflicts or new trade restrictions, could push investors into safer assets, which would inevitably impact stocks and other risk-sensitive instruments. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index erased early losses to finish unchanged. Chinese indices jumped to a four-year high, buoyed by optimism over artificial intelligence demand. Baidu Inc. shares surged 18% after an analyst rating upgrade. US equity futures were little changed, while European contracts moved higher. The dollar held steady after two days of declines that brought it close to levels last seen in March 2022. Gold remains near record highs after climbing above $3,700 an ounce for the first time. As mentioned above, investor focus is firmly on the Fed, where they will be searching for clues about the rate outlook that could shape the path forward. Some bond traders have increased their bets that the central bank will cut rates by at least half a percentage point over the three remaining monetary policy meetings this year. Japanese government bonds advanced after a 20-year debt sale saw the strongest demand since 2020, as investors were drawn in by higher yields despite ongoing political uncertainty. Meanwhile, money markets have fully priced a 25-basis-point Fed rate cut, along with additional easing in the coming year. If the Fed fails to deliver clear signals about further rate cuts, it would be a discouraging sign for equity bulls who are counting on a gradual shift toward looser policy. In commodities, oil prices stabilized after three days of gains as traders assessed the implications of Ukrainian attacks on Russian oil infrastructure. From a technical perspective, the immediate task for S&P 500 buyers today is to overcome nearby resistance at $6,616. That would set the stage for a push to $6,627. Securing a hold above $6,638 remains a key objective for the bulls. On the downside, buyers will need to defend the $6,603 area in the event of weaker risk appetite. A move below this level would quickly drag the index back to $6,590 and potentially open the way to $6,577. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

The Dogecoin price recorded one of the most notable recoveries over the weekend, rising by more than 15% to reach the $0.3 target once again. The meme coin has since hit a roadblock with the market correction and continues to decline with the anticipation of the Fed rate cuts coming later in the week. But this has not eroded the bullish sentiment that continues to surround the meme coin and has, in fact, brought about more expectations that the Dogecoin price will soon cross $1. Dogecoin Price Eyes Next Surge To Reach $3.5 Back in 2021, Dogecoin ushered in a new age of cryptocurrency with its meme coin run, allowing room for others like Shiba Inu to shine. After rallying over 30,000% in a matter of months, it has managed to plant the seed in the minds of investors that it can stage a similar rally. While not expecting another 5-digit surge, crypto analyst Zonix has suggested that the Dogecoin price will at least see a 4-digit surge this cycle. This prediction is based on the fact that the Dogecoin price was about to complete its breakout over the weekend with momentum. It had moved towards a previous pullback level at $0.3, suggesting that this will be the level to break for bulls to confirm a continuation. Given this, the analysts explain that the “funneling” might be over for the Dogecoin price. This is based on Dogecoin reaching a third reaction high (RH3) with the recent uptrend. If indeed the funneling is over, then the Dogecoin price could be primed to continue its upward trajectory. There is also the possibility that a “primer” for the next surge could be forming at this level. If this is the case, then the crypto analyst says it is possible that the price could be headed for $3.5. From the current price level, it would mean an over 1,200% increase before the rally is over. Volume Surge Could Support Further Upside The recent Dogecoin price uptrend was propelled forward by a surge in volume over the weekend, as shown by Coinglass data. The meme coin had recorded its highest daily volume so far for the month of September after rising to $19.66 billion on Sunday, September 14. This shows that momentum remains on the side of the bulls. At the same time, there was also a notable surge in the open interest, hitting a brand new all-time high above $6 billion. All of these go to show that Dogecoin is getting a lot of attention from crypto investors, something that could propel it to higher highs if the market conditions remain favorable.

RWA crypto is set for a massive shakeup this holiday season, with Bitwise filing for a groundbreaking Stablecoin and Tokenization ETF. If approved, the fund is expected to launch just before Thanksgiving, potentially triggering a year-end FOMO rally for stablecoin and real-world asset-linked tokens. With the stablecoin market now at $290Bn and tokenized assets climbing to $66Bn, this ETF could be the spark that brings institutional capital flooding into crypto. Here’s why this development matters and how it could transform the RWA space by the end of 2025. (Source – CoinGecko.com) What is Bitwise’s Stablecoin & Tokenization ETF and Why Does It Matter? Bitwise’s ETF is designed to give traditional investors exposure to stablecoins and tokenized assets without directly holding crypto. According to its SEC filing, the fund will track an index split evenly into two components: 1. Equity Sleeve (50%) Targets public companies building in stablecoins and tokenization. Includes issuers, infrastructure providers, payment processors, exchanges, and retailers. 2. Crypto Asset Sleeve (50%) Exposure to regulated crypto exchange-traded products (ETPs) like BTC ▲0.99% and ETH ▼-0.17%. Focuses on blockchain infrastructure supporting stablecoins and RWAs. bitcoinPriceMarket CapBTC$2.33T24h7d1y To maintain balance, the largest crypto ETP in the sleeve will be capped at 22.5% with the index rebalancing quarterly to stay aligned with market trends. If approved, the launch would mark a milestone similar to the first Bitcoin ETF, which unleashed billions of dollars in institutional inflows earlier this year. DISCOVER: Top Solana Meme Coins to Buy in 2025 Could Thanksgiving Mark the Start of the Next RWA Crypto Bull Run? The SEC has delayed multiple ETF proposals in recent weeks, with final decisions expected in October and November. Historically, ETF launches have acted as major catalysts. Bitcoin ETFs in early 2025 sparked a rapid surge to $117K Ethereum ETFs drove ETH above $4.5K A similar dynamic could now play out for RWA-focused tokens like Centrifuge (CFG), Ondo (ONDO), and Avalanche (AVAX). Thanksgiving historically coincides with high liquidity and retail attention, amplifying any positive ETF news. The combination of institutional flow and holiday hype could create a perfect storm for RWA crypto markets heading into Q4. As tokenized asset markets grow, they could easily reach hundreds of billions in value, mirroring the early growth trajectory of Bitcoin and Ethereum. For investors, this means Thanksgiving could mark the beginning of a multi-year RWA narrative, with 2025 remembered as the year tokenized assets went mainstream. DISCOVER: 20+ Next Crypto to Explode in 2025 Join The 99Bitcoins News Discord Here For The Latest Market Updates Key Takeaways Bitwise filed for a Stablecoin & Tokenization ETF. And approval could spark a major RWA crypto rally heading into Q4 2025. The post Bitwise Will Change Everything For RWA Crypto This Thanksgiving appeared first on 99Bitcoins.

A new meme coin from China, Pudgy Pandas ($PANDA), raised over $300K in one day on presale, gaining significant attention in the Asian crypto market via social platforms like WeChat. With a real-world cause (#FreeThePandas campaign) fuelling its momentum, this new meme coin on presale proves there’s room for more at the party Pudgy Pandas challenges the Pudgy Penguins ($PENGU) franchise, which has dominated the year so far with a market cap of over $2B. Speaking of, the $PENGU ETF with the SEC, as well as the $DOGE ETF, signal the rise of meme coins as serious investment products. That, combined with the growing buzz around projects like Pudgy Pandas, and Pudgy Penguins, is spilling over into newer projects, with degens hunting for the next breakout token. Maxi Doge ($MAXI) is pumped up and ready to ride this wave, already soaring past $2.2M in its presale. Meme Coin Mania Isn’t Stopping – Here Are the Tokens Degens Are Watching Now The meme coin market has surged over the past seven days, with several tokens reaching new highs. Dogecoin led the market with a 12.3% increase, followed by Pepe at 5.27%, signaling that the major meme plays still command the spotlight. In the lower cap range, MemeCore exploded by 20%, Bonk saw a 4% gain, and Pudgy Penguins inched up by +0.06%, highlighting how degens may be piling into newer, high-volatility tokens. Riding the meme coin wave, here are the top meme coins that our experts believe could surge in value in 2025. Historically, meme coins have shown the potential to deliver gains ranging from 10x to 100x during bullish periods. This is particularly true when investors enter early in a project’s cycle, as seen with the Maxi Doge ($MAXI) presale, which is drawing significant attention from early adopters eager to capitalize on the current meme coin mania. Meme Coin Frenzy Pushes Maxi Doge Presale to New Heights Maxi Doge ($MAXI) is a high-octane trading meme token built for ultra-leveraged strategies. The token rewards traders who love to time entries, ride market swings, and turn each green candle into an opportunity for massive gains. Besides high-leverage plays and relentless market action, here’s why $MAXI could be the next moonshot bag: An ‘Alpha Dog’ lifestyle token fueling conviction, stamina, and risk-taking in the bull run. It delivers the raw edge and motivation needed to out-trade, out-pump, and outlast. Its smart contract handles presale mechanics and automates prize distributions directly on-chain. Keeps the community always buzzing – firing up the squad with non-stop giveaways and degen competitions, pumping engagement, and keeping the vibes WAGMI. Plans for integration with larger DeFi platforms, including swaps, liquidity, and partner events, as the ecosystem expands. Maxi Doge is flexing hard right now. At just $0.0002575 per token, the presale has already raised over $2.2M; though the next price surge is set to occur once it reaches $2.4M, most likely tomorrow. The $MAXI vibe is MAX RIPPED. MAX GAINZ. MAX MENTALITY – a mantra so strong it;s seen some whales drop as much as $37K on $MAXI. Pure meme-fuelled early entries like this are where the real degens play, which can turn them into mega moonshots. Feeling the FOMO? If you ape in with $500 today, you’ll get about 1.94M $MAXI tokens plus an additional ~2.79M tokens in staking rewards at 144% APY p/a. That means your buy could stack serious passive gains, even before the next pump kicks in With over $5.2B $MAXI already staked, the community is clearly riding this bull wave. If meme coin momentum keeps raging, $MAXI could be the next crypto to explode. Bulk up on the $MAXI presale before the next pump. This is not financial advice. The cryptocurrency market can be highly volatile and speculative. Please do your own research before making any investments. Authored by Aaron Walker, NewsBTC – https://www.newsbtc.com/news/maxi-doge-raises-2-2m-pudgy-pandas-raises-300k/

[AUD/JPY] – Wednesday, September 17, 2025 The appearance of a Hidden Bearish Divergence between the RSI and AUD/JPY price movement indicates a near-term potential for weakening. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 98.63 2. Resistance. 1 : 98.25 3. Pivot : 97.59 4. Support. 1 : 97.57 5. Support. 2 : 97.27 Tactical Scenario Pressure Zone: If AUD/JPY breaks down and closes below 97.57, it may test the 97.27 level. Momentum Extension Bias: If 97.27 is broken and closed below, AUD/JPY will likely head towards the 96.89 level.Invalidation Level / Bias Revision Downside bias is contained if AUD/JPY appreciates upward and breaks to close above the 98.63 level. Technical Summary EMA(50) : 97.86 EMA(200): 97.85 RSI(14) : 41.44 + Hidden Bearish Divergence Economic News Release Agenda: Earlier this morning at 6:50 WIB from Japan, the Trade Balance economic data was released. Meanwhile, tonight until early morning from the United States, economic data will be released as follows: US - Building Permits - 19:30 WIB US - Housing Starts - 19:30 WIB US - Crude Oil Inventories - 21:30 WIB US - Federal Funds Rate - 01:00 WIB US - FOMC Economic Projections - 01:00 WIB US - FOMC Statement - 01:00 WIB US - FOMC Press Conference - 01:30 WIB The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

[XAU/USD] – [Wednesday, September 17, 2025] Although a Bearish Divergence pattern has appeared between the RSI and the price movement of XAU/USD, given that the EMA is still in a Golden Cross condition, the decline is most likely limited to a minor correction. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 3717.00 2. Resistance. 1 : 3703.16 3. Pivot : 3688.72 4. Support. 1 : 3674.88 5. Support. 2 : 3660.44 Tactical Scenario Positive Reaction Zone: If the price of Gold strengthens and breaks out to close above 3688.72, it has the potential to extend its gains up to 3703.16. Momentum Extension Bias: If 3703.16 is successfully broken and closed above, XAU/USD potentially continues its strengthening to test the 3717.00 level.Invalidation Level / Bias RevisionThe upside bias weakens if the price of Gold declines and breaks through to close below 3660.44. Technical Summary EMA(50) : 3684.07 EMA(200): 3660.31 RSI(14) : 40.46 + Bearish Divergence Economic News Release Agenda: Tonight until early morning from the United States, economic data will be released as follows: US - Building Permits - 19:30 WIB US - Housing Starts - 19:30 WIB US - Crude Oil Inventories - 21:30 WIB US - Federal Funds Rate - 01:00 WIB US - FOMC Economic Projections - 01:00 WIB US - FOMC Statement - 01:00 WIB US - FOMC Press Conference - 01:30 WIB The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

The market stepped back ahead of the announcement of the September FOMC meeting results. Some investors chose to lock in profits, as the meeting's outcome could spark volatility in the S&P 500. For the first time since 1988, there may be three dissenters voting for an immediate 50 bp rate cut—the very move Donald Trump is demanding. At the same time, a single misstep or slip of the tongue by Jerome Powell at the press conference could cause turmoil. Nearly thirty record highs in the S&P 500 are drawing investors back to the US stock market, which still looks expensive from a fundamental perspective. Valuation: Price to Average 10-Year Earnings It's no joke that the "Magnificent Seven" stocks trade at 43x their expected 12-month earnings, and the recent disruptor Oracle commands a P/E of 67. The S&P 500 Information Technology sector index has gained 27% over the past year on the back of 26.9% earnings growth. By contrast, the S&P ex-tech has gained just 13% and its earnings have grown only 6.4%. If there's a bubble in US stocks, it's definitely outside Big Tech. Strong sector results have masked problems in other companies. The tip of the iceberg looks great—but what lies beneath? US equities continue to attract investors. According to a Bank of America survey, asset managers hold their highest portfolio overweight in equities since February. Yet a record 58% see US stocks as overvalued. Twelve percent now cite global trade war as the biggest risk for the S&P 500, down from 80% in April. Twenty-six percent fear inflation, while 24% worry about the Fed's loss of independence under pressure from President Trump, which could further weaken the US dollar. In other words, when it rains, it pours. The strengthening of the USD index in 2022–2024 caused emerging market equities to lag. Now, as the idea of US exceptionalism fades and the greenback falls, emerging markets can come back to life. US and Emerging Markets Stock Performance Investors are increasingly putting money into Mexico and Brazil, and eyeing Asia. Without hedging for US dollar weakness, investing in the US is risky. There's a parallel to Japan under Shinzo Abe's "Three Arrows" policy, when the yen lost 50% of its value in the first three years. Donald Trump is pushing for an even more radical overhaul of the system. None of this bodes well for the dollar. Technically, the daily S&P 500 chart shows a steady uptrend. Key supports are the cluster of pivot levels near 6570 and the moving averages near 6500. A bounce from these zones would be grounds to initiate or add to long positions in the broader stock index. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

Following an all-time high (ATH) reached last August, Ethereum (ETH), the market’s second-largest cryptocurrency, has found itself in a consolidation phase, trading between $4,200 and $4,700. This price range reflects a broader stagnation in the cryptocurrency market, as various digital assets, including Bitcoin (BTC), struggle to regain the momentum that led both BTC and ETH reach new records above $124,000 and $4,9000 respectively. Notably, Citigroup, the third-largest investment bank in the United States, has tempered expectations for the Ethereum price, forecasting a year-end price target of $4,300 for the altcoin. Citi Forecasts Moderate ETF Inflows Into Ethereum According to a report by Reuters, Citigroup’s analysis attributes the current demand for Ethereum to burgeoning interest in Ethereum-based applications, including stablecoins and tokenization. However, the bank cautions that the recent price strength may be more a reflection of market sentiment than underlying fundamentals. In a note released on Monday, Citi remarked, “Current prices are above activity estimates, potentially driven by recent buying pressure and excitement over use-cases.” Ethereum’s appeal has grown among investors looking for more than just price appreciation. Analysts forecast increased price growth for the altcoin due to the recent passage of bills, including the GENIUS Act, which aims to provide a new framework for stablecoins, as well as the surge in interest in tokenization. Despite these developments, Citigroup predicts that the inflow of exchange-traded funds (ETFs) into Ethereum will be less robust compared to Bitcoin. In contrast, Standard Chartered has recently revised its year-end target for Ethereum significantly upward, from $4,000 to $7,500. Bearish And Bullish Scenarios For ETH This adjustment reflects stronger engagement within the industry and increasing corporate investments. The bank anticipates that the stablecoin sector could grow eightfold by 2028, which would likely drive up Ethereum network fees and demand. Citi also presented a more optimistic bull case, projecting a potential price of $6,400 if activity and adoption of Ethereum-based applications continue to rise. This would represent a major 42% uptrend ahead for the leading altcoin. Conversely, the bank outlined a bearish scenario in which the Ethereum price would drop to $2,200 in the event of a macroeconomic downturn or a decline in the equity market. If this scenario plays out, it could spell major trouble for bulls, as it would represent a 50% drop from current levels. Interestingly, a recent report from Sygnum, a digital asset bank, has painted a more favorable outlook for Ethereum. The bank highlights Ethereum’s upgrades and increasing institutional interest as significant factors that could position ETH to benefit from anticipated trends in stablecoin issuance and broader adoption. Furthermore, the digital asset bank highlighted that as liquid Ethereum reserves on exchanges diminish and demand intensifies, the possibility of a supply squeeze arises, potentially sending the altcoin into a new leg up to retest all-time high levels. As of this writing, ETH is trading at $4,480, which is up 5% on the weekly time frame. Compared to record prices, the altcoin is trading nearly 10% below all-time high levels. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com

This is a follow-up analysis and a timely update of our prior publication, “Dow Jones (DJIA) Technical: Poised for a potential bullish breakout as US CPI looms”, published last Thursday, 11 September 2025. The price actions of the US Wall Street 30 CFD Index (a proxy of the Dow Jones Industrial Average futures) have staged the expected bullish breakout above the minor “Ascending Triangle” range resistance at 45,780 and rallied by 1.3% to hit a fresh all-time intraday high of 46,140 on last Friday, 12 September 2025, during the early Asian session. Thereafter, the US Wall Street 30 CFD Index’s minor/short-term bullish momentum fizzled out and staged a corrective pull-back of -1.1% to print an intraday low of 45,645 on Tuesday, 16 September 2025, ahead of today’s FOMC monetary policy decision outcome and the release of the latest Fed economic projections (dot plot). Fig. 1: Performances of S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, DJIA & Russell 2000 from 12 Sep 2025 to 16 Sep 2025 (Source: MacroMicro) So far, the Dow Jones Industrial Average has both lagged and outperformed its peers from last Friday, 12 September, to this Wednesday, 16 September. The DJIA shed -0.2%, and in contrast, the mega-cap heavy S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 recorded gains of 0.3% and 0.8% respectively towards fresh all-time highs. Even the small-cap Russell managed to squeeze out a modest positive return of 0.2% (see Fig. 1). A key macro factor and its intermarket relationship hold the key to the short to medium-term performance of the Dow Jones Industrial Average. More details below. A re-steepening of the US Treasury yield curve is needed to revive the bulls of Dow Jones Fig. 2: DJIA, momentum, value factors, US Treasury yield curve major trends as of 16 Sep 2025 (Source: TradingView) The Dow Jones Industrial Average tends to be viewed as a more “value-oriented” barometer benchmark US stock index due to its higher weightage of value-related sectors, such as Financials, over the Nasdaq 100; the Financials sector has a weightage of 27% in the DJIA. One of the key drivers that allows the DJIA to stage a bullish breakout on 22 August 2025, above its former all-time high of 45,074 printed on 4 December 2024, is a macro factor (undiversifiable risk), the bullish steepening of the US Treasury yield curve (10-year minus 2-year), which, in turn, also reinforced the bullish breakout of the ratio chart of the S&P 500 Enhanced Value ETF (35% weightage in Financials)/S&P 500 ETF (see Fig. 2). A bullish steepening of the US Treasury yield curve indicates short-term interest rates are falling at a faster pace than long-term interest rates due to an accommodating monetary policy environment undertaken by the Fed. Hence, a US Treasury bull steepening environment tends to benefit the US Financials, especially in wholesale banking, as net interest margins expand, in turn, triggering a positive feedback loop back into the Dow Jones Industrial Average (heavily weighting in the Financials sector). The recent pull-back in the DJIA since last Friday, 12 September, has moved in line with the flattening of the US Treasury yield curve (10-year minus 2-year). Interestingly, the flattening process of the US Treasury yield has stalled at a major ascending support, and a re-steepening motion seems to be in progress as it staged a bounce from 0.48% on 11 September 2025 to 0.52% on Tuesday, 16 September 2025. The further re-steepening of the US Treasury yield curve will likely hinge on today’s release of the Fed’s latest economic projections and Chair Powell’s press conference, both of which will shape market expectations for monetary policy. Should the Fed strike a dovish tone that prompts markets to price in more than the three rate cuts currently anticipated for 2026 (latest CME FedWatch tool data), the yield curve may resume its bull-steepening trend, in turn supporting the next bullish impulsive move in the DJIA. Let’s now focus on the short-term (1 to 3 days) trajectory and key technical levels to watch on the US Wall Street 30 CFD Index Fig. 3: US Wall Street 30 CFD minor trend as of 17 Sep 2025 (Source: TradingView) Preferred trend bias (1-3 days) The minor corrective pull-back from last Friday, 12 September 2025, may have reached its terminal point for a potential bullish reversal. Maintain a bullish bias on the US Wall Street 30 CFD Index with 45,780/45,690 as key short-term pivotal support. A clearance above 46,180 adds impetus to the start of another bullish impulsive up move sequence for the next intermediate resistances to come in at 46,365/46,400 and 46,570 (Fibonacci extension) (see Fig. 3). Key elements The recent pull-back of the US Wall Street 30 CFD Index has started to stall at the lower boundary of the minor ascending channel in place since the 1 August 2025 low.The 45,780/45,690 key short-term pivotal support also coincides with the pull-back for the former minor “Ascending Triangle” range resistanceThe hourly RSI momentum indicator has staged a rebound after it reached its oversold zone on Tuesday, 16 September 2025, which suggests that the recent bearish momentum has eased.Alternative trend bias (1 to 3 days) A break below the 45,690 key short-term support invalidates the bullish reversal scenario on the US Wall Street CFD Index. A further extension of the minor corrective decline may materialise to expose the next intermediate supports at 45,425 and 45,290/45,175. Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. The provided publication is for informational and educational purposes only. If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found on MarketPulse, an award winning forex, commodities and global indices analysis and news site service produced by OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc., please refer to the MarketPulse Terms of Use. Visit https://www.marketpulse.com/ to find out more about the beat of the global markets. © 2025 OANDA Business Information & Services Inc.

Bitcoin is knocking on the $117,000 level, while Ethereum isn't feeling too confident, trading around the same levels as at the week's start. While markets await a rate cut from the US Federal Reserve and another push toward all-time highs, analytics firm Santiment notes that ahead of the FOMC meeting, greed and bullish sentiment for BTC have reached a 10-week high, which historically is "bearish." This fact should raise some concern among investors and analysts. Excessive optimism and belief in nonstop growth usually precede a correction or, worse, a deeper drop. Financial history is full of examples where euphoria turned into disappointment. Growing greed, amplified by falling rates, can potentially overheat the market. Investors, driven by the fear of missing out (FOMO), begin to buy assets without regard to fundamentals. Eventually, this bubble can burst, leaving many market participants at a loss. On the other hand, it's important to remember that market sentiment is just one factor influencing prices. Fundamentals and central bank actions play a crucial role. So, rushing to conclusions based solely on sentiment analysis can be a mistake. Intraday crypto strategy: I'll continue to focus on buying into any major dips in Bitcoin and Ethereum, betting on the still-intact medium-term bull trend. Short-term trading strategy and conditions are outlined below. BitcoinBuy ScenarioScenario #1: Buy Bitcoin today if it reaches an entry point around $117,300, targeting a rise to $118,100. Around $118,100, exit longs and sell on the bounce. Before buying a breakout, make sure the 50-day moving average is below the current price and the Awesome Oscillator is above zero.Scenario #2: Buy Bitcoin from the lower boundary at $116,800 if there's no bearish reaction, aiming for a reversal up to $117,300 and $118,100.Sell ScenarioScenario #1: Sell Bitcoin today if it hits $116,800, targeting a fall to $115,800. Around $115,800, exit shorts and buy on the bounce. Before entering a breakout short, check that the 50-day moving average is above the current price and the Awesome Oscillator is below zero.Scenario #2: Sell Bitcoin from the upper boundary at $117,300 if the breakout fails, aiming for a drop to $116,800 and $115,800. EthereumBuy ScenarioScenario #1: Buy Ethereum today if it reaches an entry near $4,535, targeting a rise to $4,599. Around $4,599, exit longs and sell on the bounce. Before entering a breakout long, check that the 50-day moving average is below the current price and the Awesome Oscillator is above zero.Scenario #2: Buy Ethereum from the lower boundary at $4,499 if there's no bearish reaction, targeting $4,535 and $4,599.Sell ScenarioScenario #1: Sell Ethereum at $4,499, targeting a drop to $4,417. Around $4,417, exit shorts and buy on the bounce. Before entering a breakout short, verify the 50-day moving average is above the current price and the Awesome Oscillator is below zero.Scenario #2: Sell Ethereum from the upper boundary at $4,535 if the breakout fails, targeting $4,499 and $4,417.The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

Trade Review and Advice on Trading the Japanese YenThe test of 146.88 occurred when the MACD indicator had just started moving down from the zero mark, confirming it as the correct entry point for selling the dollar, and this resulted in a drop of over 40 pips in the pair. Expectations that the Federal Reserve will take a more dovish approach have been the main factor pressuring the dollar and supporting the Japanese yen. Most likely, in the first half of today, the dollar will continue to struggle to gain ground. This situation is due to several factors. First, US economic data lately has been clearly negative, offering a sobering picture of the US economy. Second, even though the market has already priced in the Fed's coming rate cuts, this continues to make the dollar less attractive to investors. Third, the Japanese yen, in contrast, is benefiting from expectations of imminent changes to Bank of Japan policy. As for the intraday strategy, I will focus more on implementing scenarios #1 and #2. Buy ScenarioScenario #1: I plan to buy USD/JPY today around the entry point of 146.62 (green line on the chart), targeting a rise to 147.05 (thicker green line). Near 147.05, I'll exit longs and open shorts on the bounce (expecting a 30–35 pip reversal). The optimal opportunities to buy this pair are on pullbacks and deep corrections. Important! Before buying, make sure the MACD is above the zero line and just starting to rise. Scenario #2: I also plan to buy USD/JPY if there are two consecutive tests of 146.39 while the MACD is in the oversold zone. This will limit downside and trigger a reversal up. Look for growth to the opposite levels, 146.62 and 147.05. Sell ScenarioScenario #1: I plan to sell USD/JPY today only after a move below 146.39 (red line on the chart), which could trigger a rapid drop. Sellers' key target will be 146.01, where I'll exit shorts and immediately open longs in the opposite direction (expecting a 20–25 pip bounce). It's best to sell as high as possible. Important! Before selling, ensure the MACD is below zero and starting to drop. Scenario #2: I'll also look to sell USD/JPY if there are two consecutive tests of 146.62 while the MACD is in overbought territory. This will cap the upside and trigger a reversal down, targeting the opposite levels: 146.39 and 146.01. What's on the Chart:Thin green line – entry price at which the instrument can be bought. Thick green line – suggested price for taking profit or manually securing profits, as further growth above this level is unlikely. Thin red line – entry price at which the instrument can be sold. Thick red line – suggested price for taking profit or manually securing profits, as further decline below this level is unlikely. MACD indicator: When entering the market, it is important to refer to overbought and oversold areas. Important. Beginner forex traders should exercise extreme caution when making entry decisions. Before important fundamental reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid sharp price swings. If you decide to trade during the release of news, always use stop-loss orders to minimize losses. Without stop-losses, you can quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you don't use money management and trade large volumes. And remember: for successful trading, you need a clear trading plan, as I described above. Making spontaneous trading decisions based on the current market situation from moment to moment is a losing strategy for an intraday trader. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

Trade Review and Advice on Trading the British PoundThe first test of the 1.3646 price occurred when the MACD indicator had just started to move up from the zero mark, confirming this as the correct entry point for buying the pound. As a result, the pair rose, stopping just short of the 1.3671 target. UK labor market data kept demand for the pound healthy in the first half of the day, after which dollar weakness returned. Despite the lack of strong positives in the published data, the mere resilience of the UK labor market—contrary to some analysts' expectations—supported the national currency. Investors who feared a sharp deterioration got a signal that the UK economy is perhaps more resilient to external shocks than previously thought. Today, the pound's dynamics will be influenced by UK Consumer Price Index data and its core value. Economists forecast increases in both, which could have a significant effect on Bank of England policy and the value of the pound. If the CPI comes in above expectations, this will likely strengthen the case for a more restrictive BoE stance—this could bolster the pound. Conversely, lower-than-expected inflation readings may reduce pressure on the central bank, leading to a softer pound. The core CPI (stripping out the volatility of food and energy prices) gives a clearer picture of underlying inflation trends. Faster core CPI growth compared to the headline figure may signal deeper problems with inflation in the UK economy. As for the intraday strategy, I will focus more on implementing scenarios #1 and #2. Buy ScenarioScenario #1: I plan to buy the pound today at the entry point near 1.3650 (green line on the chart), targeting a rise to 1.3671 (thicker green line). Around 1.3671, I'll exit longs and open shorts on the reversal (expecting a 30–35 pip move in the opposite direction). Strong pound rallies can be expected if the uptrend continues. Important! Before buying, make sure the MACD is above zero and just starting to rise. Scenario #2: I also plan to buy the pound if there are two consecutive tests of the 1.3631 price while the MACD is in the oversold zone. This will limit the pair's downside and lead to an upward reversal. Growth to the opposite levels of 1.3650 and 1.3671 can be expected. Sell ScenarioScenario #1: I plan to sell the pound today after a breakdown below 1.3631 (red line on the chart), which should cause a quick decline. Sellers' main target will be 1.3612, where I'll exit shorts and immediately buy on a reversal (expecting a 20–25 pip move in the opposite direction). Pound sellers are unlikely to be very active in the first half of the day. Important! Before selling, ensure the MACD is below zero and beginning to decline. Scenario #2: I'll also consider selling the pound if there are two consecutive tests of 1.3650 while the MACD is in the overbought zone. This will cap the upside and lead to a reversal downward, targeting 1.3631 and 1.3612. What's on the Chart:Thin green line – entry price at which the instrument can be bought. Thick green line – suggested price for taking profit or manually securing profits, as further growth above this level is unlikely. Thin red line – entry price at which the instrument can be sold. Thick red line – suggested price for taking profit or manually securing profits, as further decline below this level is unlikely. MACD indicator: When entering the market, it is important to refer to overbought and oversold areas. Important. Beginner forex traders should exercise extreme caution when making entry decisions. Before important fundamental reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid sharp price swings. If you decide to trade during the release of news, always use stop-loss orders to minimize losses. Without stop-losses, you can quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you don't use money management and trade large volumes. And remember: for successful trading, you need a clear trading plan, as I described above. Making spontaneous trading decisions based on the current market situation from moment to moment is a losing strategy for an intraday trader. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

Trade Review and Advice on Trading the EuroThe test of the 1.1821 price occurred when the MACD indicator was just starting to move up from the zero mark, confirming the right entry point for buying the euro in line with the trend. As a result, the pair reached the target level of 1.1848. The euro's confident climb was driven by encouraging data from Germany's ZEW institute, reflecting positive shifts in economic sentiment across the eurozone. The main driving force on the currency market then became expectations for continued dovish policy from the US Federal Reserve. Initial expectations pointed to a cautious Fed approach to rate cuts, but now many traders expect at least two rate reductions by year-end, which is bearish for the dollar. Today is shaping up to be busy, with many events potentially impacting currency fluctuations. Market participants and experts will pay special attention to how actual CPI readings differ from economists' forecasts. If the numbers come in above expectations, this could increase pressure on the ECB to rule out further rate cuts this year, which would most likely boost the euro. Conversely, results below forecasts could trigger the opposite, prompting a euro decline. ECB President Christine Lagarde is also set to speak today. The market will closely scrutinize her comments on the inflation outlook and future ECB measures. Lagarde may use this platform to adjust current market expectations or to offer clearer guidance on the central bank's next moves. As for the intraday strategy, I will focus more on implementing scenarios #1 and #2. Buy ScenarioScenario #1: Today, I plan to buy the euro if the price reaches the 1.1864 area (green line on the chart), targeting a rise to 1.1898. At 1.1898, I intend to exit longs and sell in the opposite direction, counting on a 30–35 pip move from the entry. Buying the euro is only advisable after strong stats. Important! Before buying, make sure the MACD is above zero and just starting to rise. Scenario #2: I'll also plan to buy the euro if there are two consecutive tests of 1.1845, while the MACD is in the oversold zone. This will limit the pair's downside potential and trigger a reversal upward. Growth to the opposite levels of 1.1864 and 1.1898 can then be expected. Sell ScenarioScenario #1: I plan to sell the euro after it reaches 1.1845 (red line on the chart), targeting 1.1822, where I'll exit shorts and immediately buy on the rebound (expecting a 20–25 pip move in the opposite direction). Downside pressure may return to the pair today if the data is weak. Important! Before selling, ensure the MACD is below zero and just starting to decline. Scenario #2: I'll also look to sell the euro if there are two consecutive tests of 1.1864 while the MACD is in the overbought zone. This will cap the pair's upside and trigger a reversal downward—look for declines to the opposite levels: 1.1845 and 1.1822. What's on the Chart:Thin green line – entry price at which the instrument can be bought. Thick green line – suggested price for taking profit or manually securing profits, as further growth above this level is unlikely. Thin red line – entry price at which the instrument can be sold. Thick red line – suggested price for taking profit or manually securing profits, as further decline below this level is unlikely. MACD indicator: When entering the market, it is important to refer to overbought and oversold areas. Important. Beginner forex traders should exercise extreme caution when making entry decisions. Before important fundamental reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid sharp price swings. If you decide to trade during the release of news, always use stop-loss orders to minimize losses. Without stop-losses, you can quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you don't use money management and trade large volumes. And remember: for successful trading, you need a clear trading plan, as I described above. Making spontaneous trading decisions based on the current market situation from moment to moment is a losing strategy for an intraday trader. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

The US dollar continued to lose ground actively—a development that's easy to explain. There is growing talk in the market that the Fed will be forced to act more dovish, especially after the latest fundamental data from the US, which hardly gives dollar bulls any confidence. Yesterday, strong data from Germany's ZEW institute, which indicated improving economic sentiment in the eurozone, led to a stronger euro. Investors saw this as a signal of potential regional economic stabilization, increasing interest in the European currency. However, the key factor influencing the FX market in the second half of the day was a shift in expectations around future Federal Reserve policy. This weakened dollar appeal, since lower interest rates make the currency less attractive to investors seeking higher yields. The dollar's decline, in turn, further strengthened the euro, pound, and other risk assets. Today promises to be packed with events that could significantly impact FX trends. CPI reports for both the eurozone and the UK will be in focus, providing crucial insights into inflation dynamics. These figures will be key for assessing the monetary policy outlook of both the European Central Bank and the Bank of England. Investors and analysts will be watching closely to see how the actual CPI results match expectations. If the readings beat forecasts, pressure on the ECB to halt further rate cuts will intensify, likely strengthening the euro. Conversely, lower-than-expected results could trigger the opposite reaction, weakening the euro. An upside surprise in the UK CPI is likely to increase pressure on the BoE to take a more cautious approach—this may strengthen the pound, as the prospect of higher yields on sterling assets enhances their investment appeal. On the other hand, weaker-than-forecast inflation could relieve pressure on the BoE and lead to a lower pound. Thus, today's inflation data will be a key factor in defining the next trajectory for both the euro and the pound. Traders and investors are advised to pay close attention to these releases and be ready to react swiftly to any significant deviations from forecasts. If the data matches economists' expectations, it's best to use a Mean Reversion strategy. If the data comes in much higher or lower than expected, a Momentum strategy is most appropriate. Momentum Strategy (Breakout):EUR/USDBuying on a breakout above 1.1870 could bring the euro up to the 1.1900 and 1.1937 Selling on a breakout below 1.1840 could sink the euro toward 1.1793 and 1.1754GBP/USDBuying on a breakout above 1.3665 could send the pound up to 1.3705 and 1.3746Selling on a breakout below 1.3625 could drag the pound down to 1.3590 and 1.3555USD/JPYBuying on a breakout above 146.70 could lift the dollar toward 147.12 and 147.40Selling on a breakout below 146.30 could send the dollar down to 145.92 and 145.63Mean Reversion Strategy (Pullbacks): EUR/USDI'll look to sell after a failed breakout above 1.1872, once the price comes back below this levelI'll look to buy after a failed breakout below 1.1840, once the price returns above this level GBP/USDI'll look to sell after a failed breakout above 1.3660, once the price comes back below this levelI'll look to buy after a failed breakout below 1.3630, once the price returns above this level AUD/USDI'll look to sell after a failed breakout above 0.6690, once the price comes back below this levelI'll look to buy after a failed breakout below 0.6669, once the price returns above this level USD/CADI'll look to sell after a failed breakout above 1.3757, once the price returns below this levelI'll look to buy after a failed breakout below 1.3738, once the price returns above this levelThe material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

A month ago, on August 19, we expected a US stock market reversal based on the completion of five DeMark sequences. However, that reversal didn't materialize—there was only a five-day correction. Now, however, we've encountered six sequences, marked by the number "9" on the daily chart. Given today's complex monetary policy decision, the Fed faces, the chances of a significant S&P 500 decline are even higher. Visually, the market could fall into the 5916–5973 range, a zone it traded in from mid-May to mid-June before resuming its uptrend. Another reference point is the simple moving average (SMA) with a period of 233, which currently lies just above that zone. The MA377 is below this range and will reach its lower boundary in about 40 trading days. Therefore, if the market breaks beneath the MA377 before then, a longer-term decline in the stock market may be in play. On the second daily chart, it's clear that since June—when the S&P 500 resumed growth out of the 5916–5973 range—the Marlin oscillator's signal line has been moving sideways, hovering around the zero line. Now, the signal line is turning down from the upper boundary of the channel. This indicates weakness in the entire three-month rally. Our target zone aligns with a 38.2% correction of the advance since April. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

On-chain analytics firm Glassnode has explained how the Bitcoin price trend remains constructive as long as the asset trades above the short-term holder cost basis. Bitcoin Is Still Maintaining Above Short-Term Holder Realized Price In a new post on X, Glassnode has discussed about the Realized Price of the Bitcoin short-term holders. The “Realized Price” here refers to an indicator that keeps track of the cost basis of the average investor or address on the BTC network. When the value of the metric is greater than BTC’s spot price, it means the investors as a whole are sitting on some net unrealized profit. On the other hand, it being under the asset’s value implies the overall market is in a state of net loss. In the context of the current topic, the Realized Price of a specific segment of the userbase is of interest: the short-term holders (STHs). This cohort includes the investors who purchased their tokens within the past 155 days. Now, here is the chart shared by Glassnode that shows the trend in the Bitcoin Realized Price for the STHs over the last few years: As displayed in the above graph, Bitcoin retested the STH Realized Price at the start of the month and found support at it. Since then, the coin’s price has seen some recovery. This pattern of the STH Realized Price acting as a support barrier has actually been seen many times through this bull market. The reason behind the pattern may lie in investor psychology. Statistically, the longer an investor holds onto their coins, the less likely they become to sell them in the future. Since the STHs have a relatively low holding time, however, they don’t tend to be resolute, and thus, easily make panic moves when shifts occur in the market. The STHs can particularly be susceptible to panic when the cryptocurrency retests their break-even level. When the market mood is bullish, the reaction comes in the form of buying. This is because the STHs look at drawdowns to their cost basis as dip-buying opportunities. Similarly, STHs react to surges to their Realized Price by selling during bearish periods instead, fearing that the asset would decline again in the near future and send them back into a state of loss. For now, Bitcoin is maintaining above the STH Realized Price. “As long as the price respects this level, the trend remains constructive,” notes the analytics firm. “Losing this support has coincided with phases of contraction or pullbacks.” BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin is floating around $116,200, up almost 5% over the last seven days.

Yesterday, the euro made an impressive jump upward by 105 pips, reaching the upper boundary of the price channel precisely at 1.1879. Economic data out of Europe and the US were solid: in Europe, the key figures were the ZEW Economic Sentiment Index, while in the US, industrial production, retail sales, and Q3 GDP forecast (3.4% vs. 3.1% previous estimate). If it weren't for market nervousness about the expectation of three Fed rate cuts, the dollar would have definitely strengthened. This time, however, even a slight increase in European data (sentiment for September 26.1 vs. 25.1 in August; July industrial production +0.3% vs. -0.6% in June) was met with extra enthusiasm—even against a declining stock market (S&P 500 -0.13%) and slightly declining US bond yields. Possibly, euro strength was also supported by oil jumping 2.12% and currency contract expiries. All of this is a sign of a looming collapse. In our opinion, the market has overestimated the influence of employment figures on Fed policy. This can be traced to Trump's discontent and the resignation of Bureau of Labor Statistics head E. McEntarfer. However, Jerome Powell remarked at Jackson Hole that, in tackling weak employment and high inflation, the Fed would primarily focus on inflation. And inflation has been rising for four straight months. Its current level, 2.9%, is surpassed only by Japan (3.1%), the UK (3.8%), and Mexico (3.57%). Therefore, the market's expectation of three cuts by year-end seems even more inflated than in January, when investors had priced in six cuts for the year. Today, the Fed will cut its rate by 0.25%—if only not to disappoint a bond market that has fully priced in such a move—but will give a very firm signal: no more cuts this year. After all, Trump's tariffs have only just started to drive this inflation higher (in four months). On the four-hour chart, the Marlin oscillator has shown accelerated growth and has entered the overbought zone—a sign of an impending pullback. In the coming days, we expect EUR/USD to head toward 1.1392 (the August low). Supports at 1.1632 and 1.1495 are now seen as interim levels. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

The British pound gained 47 pips yesterday, closing above the target level of 1.3631. The range between 1.3631 and 1.3700 looks too fragile amid the upcoming Fed decision on monetary policy. The 1.3525–1.3631 range appears slightly stronger, but the truly solid and strategically important range is 1.3364–1.3525, which the pound left behind after short futures contracts were closed ahead of today's Fed meeting. The Fibonacci time grid points to the completion of the growth cycle since August 1 (8 periods)—a collapse may follow today. A move below 1.3525 (coinciding with the MACD line) will open the way to 1.3364 (the lows of July 16 and June 23), then to 1.3253. On the 4-hour chart, the rise from 1.3525 was not supported by the Marlin oscillator, which remained sideways. The MACD line reinforces the 1.3525 support. Accordingly, a break below this level will anchor the bearish sentiment. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com